Dissertação
Análise do custo de medicamentos quimioterápicos, por meio de modelos ARIMA - ARCH
Fecha
2011-08-15Registro en:
ALMEIDA, Silvana Gonçalves de. Analysis of the cost of chemotherapeutic drugs by means of ARIMA models - ARCH. 2011. 72 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Engenharia de Produção) - Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, 2011.
Autor
Almeida, Silvana Gonçalves de
Institución
Resumen
Today's medical treatments are becoming more expensive, in view of this plan and
control costs are mechanisms that can ensure the survival of hospitals. The present
study analyzed the cost of medications relevant financial, between January 2003 and
November 2010, at University Hospital of Santa Maria. Since not all items have the
same degree of importance, the drugs were classified by the ABC method which
provided work with capecitabine and imatinib, the total cost of these drugs in 2010,
representing about 18% compared to total expenditure on drugs and materials. The
models found for the series of the cost of capecitabine and imatinib were ARIMA
(0,1,1)-ARCH (1) and ARIMA (1,1,0)-ARCH (1), respectively. These models were
used to analyze the behavior of the series under study and make predictions in order
to assist hospital managers in decision making in hospital inventory management.