Artículos de revistas
Estimating the True Incidence of Rubella
Fecha
2010Registro en:
MATHEMATICAL POPULATION STUDIES, v.17, n.2, p.91-100, 2010
0889-8480
10.1080/08898481003689502
Autor
AMAKU, Marcos
AZEVEDO, Raymundo Soares
Institución
Resumen
The true incidence of infectious diseases is difficult to determine from surveillance or from notification data. The proportion of new infections of rubella yields a model from serological surveys. The discrepancy between results and official notification data before vaccination era leads one to suspect the presence of hidden infections. Simulation on 80% of effective vaccination coverage shows a similar discrepancy of the total number of infections compared to notification data.