Artículos de revistas
A Model Of Cellular Automata For The Spatial And Temporal Analysis Of Citrus Sudden Death With The Fuzzy Parameter
Registro en:
Ecological Modelling. , v. 214, n. 1, p. 45 - 52, 2008.
3043800
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.01.018
2-s2.0-43049121653
Autor
da Silva Peixoto M.
de Barros L.C.
Bassanezi R.C.
Institución
Resumen
Citrus Sudden Death (CSD) is a disease that has affected sweet orange trees grafted on Rangpur lime in the south of Minas Gerais state and in the north of São Paulo state (Brazil). This is a worrying characteristic because the Rangpur lime responds to 85% of the Brazilian citrus rootstocks. This disease is believed to be caused by a virus transmitted by aphids (vector) of the citrus. In this work, we have adopted the Cellular Automata model (CA) to study the temporal evolution of the disease. We take into account the effect of the wind in the space covered by the aphid. To establish the relationship between the space covered by the aphid and the intensity of the wind, we have adopted the rule-based fuzzy system. Simulations were performed and compared to real data. Through the use of the mean absolute error (MAE) method, it was possible to verify a 70% of similarity between our model of data and the real one. © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 214 1 45 52 Barros, L.C., Bassanezi, R.C., Tonnelli, P.A., Fuzzy modelling in population dynamics (2000) Ecol. Modell., 128 (1), pp. 27-33 Bassanezi, R.B., Gimenes-Fernandes, N., Yamamoto, P.T., Jesus Jr., W.C., 2004. Manual da Morte Súbita dos Citros. Fundecitrus, São Paulo, Brazil (in Portuguese)Bassanezi, R.B., Bergamin, A., Amorim, L., Gimenes-Fernandes, N., Gottwald, T.R., Bové, J.M., Spatial and temporal analyses of Citrus Sudden Death as a tool to generate hypotheses concerning its etiology (2003) Phytopathology, 93, pp. 502-512 Bassanezi, R.B., Gimenes-Fernandes, N., Yamamoto, P.T., Jesus Jr., W., 2003b. Morte Súbita dos Citros. Boletim Citrícola 24, Fundecitrus (in Portuguese)Braga, A., Sousa-Silva, C.R., 1999. Afídeos de citros (Citrus sinensis) e seus predadores na região de São Carlos-SP. Monography DEBE. Federal University of São Carlos, São Carlos/SP, Brazil (in Portuguese)Breckling, B., Mller, F., Reuter, H., Hölker, F., Fränzle, O., Emergent properties in individual-based ecological models-introducing case studies in an ecosystem research context (2005) Ecol. Modell., 186, pp. 376-388 Peixoto, M.S., 2005. Sistemas Dinâmicos e Controladores Fuzzy: um Estudo da Dispersão da Morte Súbita dos Citros em São Paulo. PhD Thesis. IMECC, State University of Campinas, Brazil (in Portuguese)Peixoto, M.S., Barros, L.C., Bassanezi, R.C., 2005. Predator-prey fuzzy model in citrus: aphids and ladybugs. In: Proceedings of the Fourth Brazilian Symposium on Mathematical and Computational Biology/First International Symposium on Mathematical and Computational Biology, vol. I, pp. 228-239Ermentrout, G.B., Edelstein-Keshet, L., Cellular Automata approaches to biological modeling (1993) Theor. Biol., 160, pp. 97-133 Gimenes-Fernandes, N., Bassanezi, R.B., 2001. Doença de causa desconhecida afeta pomares cítricos no norte de São Paulo e sul do Triângulo Mineiro. Summa Phytopathol., 27-93 (in Portuguese)Jafelice, R.M., de Barros, L.C., Bassanezi, R.C., Gomide, F., Fuzzy modeling in symptomatic HIV virus infected population (2003) Bull. Math. Biol., 66, pp. 1597-1620 Klir, G., Yuan, B., (1995) Fuzzy Sets and Fuzzy Logic-Theory and Application, , Prentice Hall Mayer, D.G., Butler, D.G., Statistical validation (1993) Ecol. Modell., 68, pp. 21-32 Pedrycz, W., Gomide, F., (1998) An Introduction to Fuzzy Sets: Analysis and Design, , Massachusetts Institute of Technology Revista Fapesp, 2004, 99 (in Portuguese), site accessed in may, 2004, http://www.revistapesquisa.fapesp.br/?art=2456&bd=1&pg=1&lg=Silveira Neto, S., Nakano, O., Barbin, D., Nova, N.A.V., 1976. Manual de Ecologia dos insetos. Editora Agronômica Ceres Ltda., Piracicaba/SP, Brazil (in Portuguese)Tsai, J.H., Wang, K., 1999. Life Table Study of Brown Citrus Aphids (Homoptera Aphididae) at Different Temperatures. Entomology Society of America, pp. 412-419Wolfram, S., (1994) Cellular Automata and Complexity, , Addison-Wesley Publishing Company Zadeh, L.A., Fuzzy sets (1965) Inform. Control, 8, pp. 338-353