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Evaluación de intervenciones durante la pandemia COVID-19: desarrollo de un modelo basado en subpoblaciones con distintas tasas de contactoEvaluation of interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: development of a model based on subpopulations with different contact rates
(Asociación Argentina de Microbiología, 2022-04)
Si bien se han realizado múltiples intentos de modelar matemáticamente la pandemia de la enfermedad por coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19), causada por SARS-CoV-2, pocos modelos han sido pensados como herramientas interactivas ...
Percolation across households in mechanistic models of non-pharmaceutical interventions in SARS-CoV-2 disease dynamics
(2022-06-01)
Since the emergence of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), mathematical modelling has become an important tool for planning strategies to combat the pandemic by supporting decision-making and public policies, ...
Coronavirus pandemic: A predictive analysis of the peak outbreak epidemic in South Africa, Turkey, and Brazil
In this research, we are interested in predicting the epidemic peak outbreak of the Coronavirus in South
Africa, Turkey, and Brazil. Until now, there is no known safe treatment, hence the immunity system of the
individual ...
A Multilayer Network Model implementation for COVID-19
(2021)
We present a numerical implementation for a multilayer network to model the transmission of Covid-19 or other diseases with a similar transmission mechanism. The model incorporates different contact types between individuals ...
Modelo SEIR con compartimientos para la propagación del Covid-19 en el Pacífico Nariñense
(Universidad Nacional de ColombiaBogotá - Ciencias - Maestría en Ciencias - EstadísticaFacultad de CienciasBogotá,ColombiaUniversidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Bogotá, 2023)
El SARS-COV2 es un virus que se ha propagado por todo el mundo y ha generado una crisis de sanitaria global. El objetivo de este trabajo es proponer un modelo SEIR modificado para describir la dinámica de la propagación ...
The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study
Background In December, 2019, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), a novel coronavirus,
emerged in Wuhan, China. Since then, the city of Wuhan has taken unprecedented measures in response to
the ...
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 fatality trends: Death kinetics law versus infection-to-death delay rule
The COVID-19 pandemic has world-widely motivated numerous attempts to properly adjust classical epidemiological models, namely those of the SEIR-type, to the spreading characteristics of the novel Corona
virus. In this ...