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Mostrando ítems 1-10 de 1623
Empirical analysis of systematic errors in chilean GDP forecasts
(Wiley, 2001)
This paper presents a statistical comparison between the actual and predicted
evolution of the Chilean GDP for the period 0875Ð0887 made by several
forecasters[ We show that the forecasters systematically underestimate ...
Evaluation of bottom-up and top-down strategies for aggregated forecasts: state space models and arima applications
(Universidad de la Costa, 2020)
A Monthly Indicator of Brazilian GDPA Monthly Indicator of Brazilian GDP
(Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria, 2001)
A monthly indicator of Brazilian GDP. The Brazilian business cycle and growth cycle
(Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV, 2000-12-07)
This paper constructs an indicator of Brazilian GDP at the monthly ftequency. The peculiar instability and abrupt changes of regimes in the dynamic behavior of the Brazilian business cycle were explicitly modeled within ...
El impacto del juicio del pronosticador en la precisión de los pronósticos que genera para la empresa
(Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas (UPC)PE, 2020-02-21)
El ajuste de juicio es el método más utilizado en la práctica empresarial. Es por ello la importancia de investigar el impacto del juicio del pronosticador en la precisión de los pronósticos que genera para la empresa. En ...
Aggregation systems for sales forecasting
(Elsevier, 2015)
Sales forecasting consists of calculating the expected sales of a specific product or company. An important issue
when dealing with sales forecasting is the calculation of the average sales, usually using the arithmetic ...
Forecasting activity using sentiment indicators : the case of Chile
(Universidad de Chile, 2016-03)
In this article we evaluate, in several dimensions, the ability of two sentiment indicators, consumers and business, to forecast year-on-year variation of Chilean activity. We do in-sample and out-of-sample exercises to ...
A Short Term Forecasting Model for the Spanish GDP and its Demand Components
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, 2020)